← Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +3.9 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1327
· median 1327
· range 1326–1329
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1182
Q1 1284
Q3 1408
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 28.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 21.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.4% | +7.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
